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Alabama vs LSU National Championship 
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DD Piranha

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Just threw down a little parlay for the hell of it, won't get into specifics for fear of messing with the wormhole. 4-0 so far this weekend.

It is Bama -2.5 O/U of 41.

Who ya got??


Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:19 pm
DD Whale
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I am on the Over, but got it at 40.

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:21 pm
DD Piranha

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Alpo_Splatr wrote:
I am on the Over, but got it at 40.


Up to 41.5 now...


Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:26 pm
DD Whale
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I got it on Bodog this morning at 40, but I just checked it is up to 41 there now. Glad I didn't waite.

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:35 pm
DD Piranha
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not beting, but i like bama :beavbutt


Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:56 pm
DD Whale
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Bodog is running some weird lines on this game.

For the sides that have it at a pick, just with adjusted juice.

269
Alabama
Pick (-130)


270
LSU
Pick (+110)


41
(-115)o
(-105)u

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:56 pm
DD Old School
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lsu and under again

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 2:57 pm
DD Whale
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chinamaniac wrote:
lsu and under again


Depends on what you think of Brandon Lang but he is on LSU +2

Me myself I would fade that fraud. Haven't pulled a trigger on a side yet, but I will probably be on Alabama waiting for the phone to ring first.

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:24 pm
DD Whale
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badbilly32 wrote:
not beting, but i like bama :beavbutt


:this


Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:40 pm
DD Piranha
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ROLL TIDE!






that is all

DEAL :beavbutt


Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:15 pm
DD Piranha

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The public is all over Bama I love it. LSU getting points basically at home. Its free money. That said Steve Budin has a 100 dime goy on the game. He follows real betting syndicates and most of his plays are only 25 dimes. Last night his 100 dimer was NO and over teaser. Ill try to post if I get it in enough time. He charges $99 btw

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:17 pm
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I'm a donk and I love LSU, mostly for reasons stated above, but as stated I'm a total sports donk.

love that huge LSU team at home getting points.

further more this game was a pick for a long time, then it was the lolz .5 points to Bama, then 1.5 for a while, now 2.5

that means every man, woman, and child is wagering on Bama tonight.

gotta take a headshot of action to move the line in the NCAA championship game

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:26 pm
DD Whale
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ShadyJ wrote:
The public is all over Bama I love it. LSU getting points basically at home. Its free money. That said Steve Budin has a 100 dime goy on the game. He follows real betting syndicates and most of his plays are only 25 dimes. Last night his 100 dimer was NO and over teaser. Ill try to post if I get it in enough time. He charges $99 btw



I think you are looking it it wrong, the public is all over LSU currently 60%- the reason the line has moved in favor of LSU is that the sharps and the max bets are on Alabama, there is a reverse line movement towards LSU to entice as much money on LSU to squash the sharps and the max bets that are on Alabama. It is quit a severe reverse line movement meaning there is BIG money from the sharps and max bets on Alabama.

Public and sharps are on the over 55%, so the line has moved steadily from 39.5 to 41.5 - this bothers me because I am on the over and would have thought the books would have moved it faster and harder and that it would be at 42 or higher about now. But it is close to a 50/50 so it seems like the books aren't too worried and if the book isn't scared I am.

Just my 2 cents.

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Last edited by Alpo_Splatr on Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:36 pm
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want to drop this link in this thread:

www.wagerminds.com

really good site, keeps track / competes against other users to see who can run up the most "units" and contests and discussion and shit.

really good site

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:39 pm
DD Whale
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ShadyJ wrote:
The public is all over Bama I love it. LSU getting points basically at home. Its free money. That said Steve Budin has a 100 dime goy on the game. He follows real betting syndicates and most of his plays are only 25 dimes. Last night his 100 dimer was NO and over teaser. Ill try to post if I get it in enough time. He charges $99 btw


Think what you want about the venue, but this will not be a home game for LSU. Alabama faithful have money and they travel especially to a place less than 6 hours away by car or 45 minutes by plane. There is a good chance that 60% of that stadium will be wearing crimson.

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:55 pm
DD Whale
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National Anthem


:lol

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 5:20 pm
DD Fish

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I have a grip of money on Alabama -2.5, over 41.5, and hooked. Therefore the obvious bet is LSU & under. I might literally be the worst sports bettor not named Verminnard or Micon.


Mon Jan 09, 2012 5:23 pm
DD Bert Sugar
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ShadyJ wrote:
The public is all over Bama I love it. LSU getting points basically at home. Its free money. That said Steve Budin has a 100 dime goy on the game. He follows real betting syndicates and most of his plays are only 25 dimes. Last night his 100 dimer was NO and over teaser. Ill try to post if I get it in enough time. He charges $99 btw


Not trying to butt in or anything, but if he were popping out 25-100 dime winning bets, he wouldn't need to sell his picks for $99.


Mon Jan 09, 2012 5:23 pm
DD Old School

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Alpo_Splatr wrote:
ShadyJ wrote:
The public is all over Bama I love it. LSU getting points basically at home. Its free money. That said Steve Budin has a 100 dime goy on the game. He follows real betting syndicates and most of his plays are only 25 dimes. Last night his 100 dimer was NO and over teaser. Ill try to post if I get it in enough time. He charges $99 btw



I think you are looking it it wrong, the public is all over LSU currently 60%- the reason the line has moved in favor of LSU is that the sharps and the max bets are on Alabama, there is a reverse line movement towards LSU to entice as much money on LSU to squash the sharps and the max bets that are on Alabama. It is quit a severe reverse line movement meaning there is BIG money from the sharps and max bets on Alabama.

Public and sharps are on the over 55%, so the line has moved steadily from 39.5 to 41.5 - this bothers me because I am on the over and would have thought the books would have moved it faster and harder and that it would be at 42 or higher about now. But it is close to a 50/50 so it seems like the books aren't too worried and if the book isn't scared I am.

Just my 2 cents.


Great post - pretty much nailed it


Mon Jan 09, 2012 5:25 pm
DD Whale
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Can't wait any longer, juice came down a tad got Bama on a pick at -120

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Mon Jan 09, 2012 5:28 pm
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